What stuck to the country's neck and what were we most in need of?
Recently, what stuck our neck at the China science and technology hall? The core technology that needs to be tackled urgently " at the science communication salon, Liu Yadong, editor-in-chief of science and technology daily, shocked and voiced his voice, refuting some of the current impetuous and harmful murmurs as part of the system.
He said: some of our hi-tech achievements today, such as the big plane, have been in existence for more than half a century. Some of the major projects that we are struggling to tackle today, such as manned lunar landing, were accomplished by the United States in 1969. these are all visible and tangible gaps.
There is a big gap between China's science and technology and the United States and other western developed countries. this is common sense, not a problem. However, it happened that there were some people in China who said " four new inventions" for a while, and " overall overtaking" and " main body surpassing" for a while. China's current economic strength, scientific and technological strength, and comprehensive national strength have surpassed the United States respectively and become the world's first. they also said that there were only a handful of them, and that they had a nose and an eye. .
This argument is by no means gentle and harmless: " if it is only to boost morale, the trouble is that the people who make these arguments have misled the leaders, the public and even themselves. this has become a problem. "
Some time ago, the pride of " my country is terrible" in the public opinion field was more prominent, and after the zhongxing incident, the internet was filled with frustration that " China can't do it".
People with official status background criticize the exaggeration of China's achievements. Liu Yadong's speech comes at an opportune moment.
This kind of correction is needed to remind the Chinese people to be humble and not to get carried away. it is undoubtedly beneficial to have such continuous voice in the process of China's rise, which will help the collective awakening of the Chinese society.
It is true that overemphasis will make the Chinese lose their sense of crisis. no matter what the situation is, we should look at it objectively. we should praise the good ones, but some places are indeed backward. we should let everyone know, especially the young people, that they should have a goal to fight for!
But now this special period is just likely to lead to serious consequences? We must understand that now is the special period when the United States launches a trade war against China in an attempt to strangle China!
When we compare trump's current policies towards China with those of the Reagan era, you will find a secret!
Us kills Japan
In 1980, Japan's manufacturing industry was unprecedentedly developed.
In the automotive field, Japan accounts for 40 % of the world.
In the motorcycle field, Japan accounts for 60 % of the world.
In the field of electronic products, Japan accounts for 50 % of the world.
As of 1985, the US-Japan trade deficit accounted for 40 % of the total us deficit.
Against this background, in 1983 Reagan signed a tax document and the US-Japan trade war broke out!
In 2017, China has already replaced Germany and Japan as the world's largest manufacturing power.
In the field of steel and iron, China accounts for 70 % of the world.
In the field of ships, China accounts for 60 % of the world.
In the field of electronic products, China accounts for 80 % of the world.
In 2017, the Sino-US trade deficit reached 375 billion us dollars, accounting for 70 % of the total us deficit.
Like Reagan, on March 22, 2018, trump officially signed the tax document, and the Sino-US trade war broke out!
In 1980, Japan's science and technology department once again emphasized the strategy of " building a country through science and technology" in the " white paper on science and technology".
Reagan signed clause 301 in 1985, imposing severe trade sanctions on Japan and demanding that Japan cancel its high-end manufacturing plan.
In 2015, China's mid-and low-end industrial output accounted for 82 %. at this time, China also proposed to build a country by science and technology very early!
However, on August 24, 2017, trump launched 301 clauses against China and formally launched trade investigations against China in areas involving technology transfer, intellectual property rights and innovation.
In 1985, Reagan asked Japan to restrict its exports to the United States and to open up its doors to import more American products.
In contrast, trump imposed four major armistice conditions on China, among which articles 1 and 3:
Give China a year to reduce its trade surplus by 100 billion us dollars.
China opens financial and e-commerce markets to the United States.
In 1985, at Reagan's behest, the U.S. state department banned Japanese investments and mergers in the United States several times on the grounds of national security.
On June 24, 2018, the United States banned companies with more than 25 % of China's shares from buying U.S. companies that involve " major industrial technologies."
As a result, we all know that Japan surrendered miserably!
Us kills Soviet union
During the Reagan era, the United States reduced government spending, tax cuts, and reduced state intervention in the economy, creating a 92 - month - long high growth and low inflation in the United States economy.
Externally, the former Soviet union finally disintegrated in 1991 by adopting a hard-line policy of " seeking peace through strength", expanding its armed forces to prepare for war, consolidating its ally system, and conducting strategic induction through advocating " star wars plan" and praising Gorbachev's " new thinking".
Former CIA employee Peter Schweitzer revealed in " how president Reagan defeated the Soviet union" that Reagan's hard-line and unpredictable behavior undoubtedly caused a psychological panic and uncertainty to the Soviet leadership, making it impossible for Soviet leaders to predict what Reagan would do next. due to his instinct of self - defense, he could only strengthen his competition with the United States, which in turn increased the burden on the Soviet economy.
At the same time, in order to cooperate with Reagan's hard-line policy, U.S. warplanes have repeatedly approached Soviet airspace since 1981. this kind of offensive psychological warfare has put the Soviet union in a passive defensive position, especially the frequent activities of U.S. troops in the European part of the Soviet union, causing the Soviet union to be suspicious and have many worries about whether to send troops to interfere in Poland's internal affairs at a critical moment, thus making a strategic misjudgment.
Another tradition of the us president is that he will not sit down and talk when he does not have some advantage. Once you want to sit down and talk about it, you must have figured it out. President Reagan was always showing his strength to the Soviet union before he made significant progress in " revitalizing armaments" and " revitalizing the economy". once he won the advantage, he began to sit down and bargain with Gorbachev to force the Soviet union to comply.
Obviously, both the United States in the Reagan era and the realistic United States under trump are facing the same situation of " relying solely on force to realize the world the United States seeks". in addition, Reagan and trump, who entered politics " halfway", both have similar ruling styles of " not playing cards according to common sense". both of them have the ambition of " re - reviving the United States" and " making the United States great again". therefore, looking back on those tactics of Reagan that year that " brought down" the Soviet union is especially meaningful, and the policy direction of trump, who greatly admired Reagan, also has striking similarities with Reagan's strategy of that year!
First, economic warfare.
The United States made a comprehensive analysis of the Soviet union's problems and found that it could start with the financial - Soviet foreign exchange reserves. At that time, the Soviet union's foreign exchange reserves were basically obtained by selling resources and energy, mainly by exporting a large amount of oil to Europe, thus obtaining 20 billion us dollars in foreign exchange. How to get rid of Soviet foreign exchange reserves? The CIA decided to take a multi-pronged approach.
First of all, start with technology. The CIA found that the Soviet union had two oil pipelines leading to Europe, a second pipeline was under construction, and the two sides had just initialled the contract. Under pressure from the United States, Europe was forced to cancel the contract.
The oil pipeline that has been opened has a potential problem: the Soviet union has a high content of petroleum wax. precisely because only the United States and France have the technology to solve this problem, the United States warned France not to sell the technology to the Soviet union. Americans know that the Soviets cannot buy technology and must use the " KGB" spy organization to find a way to steal it.
As a result, the Americans deliberately opened up the net and let him steal it. As a result, after the Soviet spy stole the technical document and used it, the pipeline was soon completely scrapped. thus, the main way for the Soviet union to effectively obtain foreign exchange was blocked.
Secondly, to use a knife to kill people. The United States and the west have actively supported polish trade unions to rise to strike and make trouble, paralyzing polish society as a whole, including production. At this time, Jaruzelski, director of Poland's general political department, took the opportunity to launch a coup. when he became chairman of Poland's national salvation military Committee, he decided to revive the polish economy. The Americans gave him another set of support for their reconstruction, even willing to lend them 5 billion us dollars.
However, there is a premise that someone must guarantee it. At that time, only the Soviet union was able to guarantee the entire eastern European region. when Poland got the loan, Americans began to stir up chaos in Poland. as a result, the 5 billion loan soon disappeared and only the 5 billion U.S. dollar guarantee fund from the Soviet union could be confiscated!
Thirdly, the bottom of the kettle should be paid. After repeated successes, the United States began to bully Saudi Arabia into taking down the international oil price. the Soviet union's mining cost was 12 us dollars, while Saudi Arabia's cost was less than 9 us dollars. as a result, they got the oil price to 9 us dollars. as a result, the Soviet union's foreign exchange could not get it!
Military top
1. launch " star wars plan". President Reagan not only delivered his own television address and announced the launch of the " strategic defense initiative" in a high-profile manner, but also caused the plan to stir up trouble in international forums, making people feel that it has a strong mysterious color and enticed the Soviet union to launch an arms race in space with it. Since 1985, the United States has invested more than us $ 2 billion in high-profile investments every year and has started to implement them in an all-round way.
Finally, it almost brought down the economies of many Warsaw pact countries, including the Soviet union. From 1986 to 1990, the average annual growth rate of Soviet military expenditures was as high as 8 % ( double the national income growth ), accounting for 1 / 4 of the GDP.
2. plunge the Soviet union into the quagmire of invading Afghanistan
3, high-tech blockade. At that time, the us department of defense estimated that the Soviet union was 10 years behind the us in computer technology. many important areas in the third technological revolution were behind the us butt. 50 % of the technology needed by the Soviet military industry was obtained from the west.
Under the planning and control of the United States, all the member States of the Pakistan unification Council have comprehensively strengthened their control over the export or transfer of high technology to the Soviet union. According to statistics, high-tech products accounted for 32.7 % of all products sold to the Soviet union in 1975 in the United States, and the proportion had dropped to 5.4 % by 1983. Due to the technological blockade by the United States and other western countries, the Soviet union was unable to legally purchase high technology from western countries by 1986.
Finally, the peaceful evolution of the Soviet union
Making full use of its huge spy network, infiltrating into the Soviet union in large quantities, carrying out spy activities, and continuously formulating and implementing secret strategies to disrupt the Soviet union, inducing the Soviet union to be deceived. hidden weapons, which also used various economic war strategies, seriously weakened and destroyed the Soviet union's economic and military strength, and caused its huge industrial and financial system to be paralyzed.
In the 1980s, the Reagan administration and the CIA employed a large number of experts in psychology, history and international politics and economics to formulate a " soft strategy" to disrupt the Soviet union. they tried their best to force the Soviet economy into a difficult situation and to shake the confidence of Soviet leaders in their own system.
At the same time, Gorbachev's " new thinking" was greatly praised through the news media, and a large number of Soviet intellectuals were sponsored to study and study western political and economic systems and theories in the United States in the late 1980s. During the critical period of Gorbachev's reform, America's secret strategy played a more important and unique role. In fact, Gorbachev faced many reform choices, but he was carefully induced by the United States to embark on the road of destruction.
Judging from the current situation, trump's strategy towards China has generally gone through three stages: the test period ( until the 19th national congress ), the shaping period ( until the beginning of this year ) and the initial push period ( until now ).
After trump came to power, he focused on strengthening the us military, especially rebuilding the navy, including increasing the number of warships to 350. While allowing allies to bear certain expenses for us troops, they should also ensure the security commitment of us allies and partners.
After testing the water for nearly a year, three reports, including the national security strategy report, have been issued, regarding China and Russia as strategic opponents, believing that Russia's threat is a real military threat and China's threat is comprehensive.
At present, the United States is actively promoting the formation of a trilateral safety net among the United States, Japan, Australia and India, with a view to planning the strategic layout in a larger scope and space. In the first year of this year, trump started to play Taiwan, south China sea and trade wars against China in an all-round way, conducting strategic inducement and blackmail in an attempt to suppress and bring down China in an all-round way from the economic, military and high-tech aspects!
If we look at it together, look at trump's frequent playing of Taiwan cards, south China sea cards and trade wars, look at the style of " black boss" and think about " Reagan strangulation"!
The " Reagan - style strangulation" strategy of the United States towards China has gradually become clear. what the United States is opening up is not a partial or some kind of suppression but an attempt to benefit temporarily. instead, it is similar to Reagan's all-round strangulation of the Soviet union, which focuses on economy and military affairs. to put it bluntly, it is both money and death.
In this regard, we cannot have any illusions and fluke psychology, let alone misjudge the situation and underestimate trump's ambition to plunder China and " make the United States great again."
Only when one knows one's enemy and knows the other, can one fight without danger. We should fully understand trump's variability, complexity and adventurism, bear in mind the profound lessons of the disintegration of the Soviet union and Japan's fiasco, maintain strategic concentration, firmly push forward China's development strategy, persist in win-win strategic cooperation and tit-for-tat tactics, prevent the United States from leading us away, and especially prepare for the worst of all-round confrontation and even showdown with the United States under trump!
